美军高层被曝曾密电中方保证
不发动袭击事件，说明了什么？
Top US military officials were revealed to have sent secret telegrams of
assurances to the Chinese
What does it tell you not to attack?
——凤凰新闻社国际问题观察员 田长友
-- Tian Changyou, observer for international affairs of Phoenix News Agency
【凤凰新闻社讯】
Phoenix News Service
本文作者：田长友
“美军高层被曝曾密电中方保证不发动袭击”这一消息在美国发酵，被美媒曝光，引起美国的轰动。这一军事秘密，为何被美国媒体捅出来，并且搞得美国上下一团乱？乍一看，这个承诺似乎有点蹊跷，可细分析起来，实属事出有因。
美国华盛顿邮报14号曝光了一则消息。消息称，美军参谋长、联席会议主席米利，在美国前任总统特朗普任期的最后三个月内，连续两次与中国军方通话，向中方保证，“不会对中国发动袭击！如果有袭击的话，他会向中国发出警告。”
对于此问题，CCTV7军事频道在《防务新观察》栏目中，邀请中国军事专家做客直播间。杜文龙先生说：“（此事件）折射了美国军方和政界的巨大轰动。”而滕建群先生说：“反映出了美国政界的混乱与军方的担忧。”对于这个问题，凤凰新闻社国际问题观察员是怎么看的呢？本社国际问题观察员认为，这个事件，反映出以下几个要点：
美国政界丑闻不断，成为世人的笑柄
大家都知道，美国是一个奇葩的国家，连总统的大选，都搞得鸡飞狗跳墙，各位总统候选人，不断制造舆论，各自带领一帮追随者，宣扬自己，不吝互相抨击、诅咒、谩骂、指责对方。其状犹如蜂巢里出现两只蜂王，蜂群分窝一样，平时和平相处的蜂群，不知该如何去留，一下子炸了马蜂窝，使竞选中的美国社会，出现了极度的混乱。这样的国度，这样的政界现状，不得不使美国军方担忧。当然，美国还有一个奇葩的规定，在总统大选时一旦发生对外战争，原任总统可以连任，取消总统大选。
所以，美国军方害怕特朗普在大选当中，以牺牲美国国民利益为代价，向中国开战，以此获得总统宝座的连任。
大家还清楚，特朗普在大选中，像一条疯狗，其疯狂程度，难以用语言来形容。他除了蛊惑选民投自己的票以外，还制造了臭名昭著的冲击国会的流血事件，想利用浑水摸鱼的伎俩，重返总统宝座，但是最终还是失败了。
美国军事界的忧关，是猛虎绕行的关键
世人无不承认，美国是世界上军事实力最强的国家，可是这又有什么用？现代战争，不是说谁实力最强，就一定能取得战争的最后胜利。翻开美国的战争史，不难看出，世界军事最强的美国，凡与中国交战，每战必败。
从二战到如今，美国在全球挑起13次战争。从越南战争到海湾战争，从海湾战争到伊拉克战争，都是由美国挑起，拉拢盟友参与的丑恶战争。
最值得一提的，也是美国最出丑的一次战争，那就是美国发动的由联合国部队参与的臭名昭著的朝鲜战争。1950年6月25日拂晓，战争全面爆发起，至1953年7月27日战争结束，美国依靠强大的军事装备，纠集15国参战，但是，最后惨败。
朝鲜战争，为什么以美国失败而告终？美军和联合国军虽然貌似强大，但美国发动的朝鲜战争，是非正义战争，是一场心虚的战争。美军是清一色的雇佣军，军人参战的目的，是为了金钱和虚荣。而中国军队，参战是为了保家卫国。虽然军事力量对比悬殊，但是中国人民志愿军应有的，是英勇顽强的战斗精神，这一点，美国没有。阵地上，哪怕只有一人，也会跟侵略者进行殊死搏斗。而美军呢，大势一去，兵败如山倒，一窝蜂散去，不是逃跑，就是投降。中国人民志愿军有董春瑞、黄继光、邱少云、杨根思、杨连弟、伍先华……等无数战斗英雄，美国有吗？
“不会对中国发动袭击！”这句话不是现任美军参谋长、联席会议主席米利的专利，这是美国和世界军事专家总结出来的实战经验。
二战名将蒙哥马利是英国最着名的元帅，在一次召开记者招待会时，他说了这样的话：“我奉劝自由世界千万不要跟他们打仗……我告诫全世界的国家，永远不要想着与中国军队在陆地上交手，否则只能是有去无回！”
蒙哥马利元帅
这些话传到西方国家后，在当时引起了强烈轰动。
被誉为“战争疯子”的萨达姆，敢与美国抗衡，也都畏惧中国。他死前留下一句话，令世人记忆犹新。他说：“惹谁都不要惹中国，因为他们的国民有大国意识！”
“不要惹中国”是对的，但萨达姆的“大国意识”说得并不完全，也不准确。中国的大国意识，不是霸权意识，而是中国人有爱好和平的意识和具有顽强的意志，这是不容他国侵犯的重要法宝。
蒙古原本不是中国领土，但是被蒙古称为英雄豪杰，并另蒙古人感到骄傲的成吉思汗，带蒙古鞑人侵略中原，霸占中原领土，欺凌中原人民。他建立元朝后，风光无限，威震四方。但是最后不曾想，把整个蒙古帝国，都送给了中国。爱新觉罗•努尔哈赤不汲取教训，同样走上了成吉思汗的道路。他统一女真部落，建立后金政权后，野心膨胀，犯我中原，建立清王朝，最后还是走上了覆没的道路。
八国联军侵略中国，把中国搞得四分五裂。清政府割地赔款，国土分割，百姓生灵涂炭。英国租借香港，葡萄牙拿去澳门，沙俄侵占中国东北140万平方领土，日本侵占大连旅顺……
八国联军攻进北京城
日本抢夺被沙俄占领的大连港
九•一八东北沦陷
抗战时期，日本侵略中国东北，并将战火燃遍中原大地。
这一桩桩，一件件血泪斑斑的历史，使勤劳、善良、友好的中华民族，蒙受了几百年的耻辱。
如今，中国人民在中国共产党的领导下，顽强奋斗，扬眉吐气。港澳回归，国力增强，国家步入现代化发展的快车道。中国的发展，令世界瞩目，但同时，也一起了以美国为首的西方国家的不安。
美国局势动荡，让世界心怀叵测
美国政坛混乱不堪，再有新冠疫情蔓延、美国霸权惹怒世界、经济发展陷入僵局……这些因素，都是把美国逼上不归路的诱因。
紧紧跟随美国的欧盟，左右摇摆，一些发达国家，看清了美国困境，预测到了美元风险，纷纷发起去美元化浪潮。据有关统计，世界上去美元化国家，达到40多个。甚至一直以美元结算石油货款的伊朗，率先启用石油用人民币结算。俄罗斯更是率先抛售美债，美债的增持为零。
美国小弟——英、加、澳前途渺茫。美、加、澳虽然都是英国殖民地国家，平时抱团簇拥，但在利益方面，也都是大浪翻船——各顾个。
美国为了遏制中国高科技的发展，指使加拿大以种种莫须有的罪名，扣押中国华为公司高管孟晚舟。中加关系紧张后，中国关紧了同甲方合作和经济互往的大门，使加拿大无论在世界舆论界和经济发展方面，蒙受了巨大的制约和发展，最后不得已，不仅没有听从美国的指令——引渡孟晚舟到美国，反而不得已，无罪释放孟晚舟。
澳大利亚是一个资源出口型国家，主要物资大部分都出口到了中国，也就是说，中国是澳大利亚最大的金主。澳大利亚为美国摇旗呐喊，为美国冲锋陷阵，充当反对中国的急先锋，致使中澳关系陷入冰点，对中国出口恢复遥遥无期。中钢协出手控价，铁矿石价格开始暴跌，需求迅速减少，澳大利亚对华出口遭重创，经济遭受了史无前例的打击。
日本虽然紧抱美国大腿，像哈巴狗一样，紧跟美国身后，但他们是二战中的战败国，驻日美军名则为保护日本而设，日本要掏腰包养活美军。可暗地里，驻日美军却是在监视、限制和控制日军发展、壮大。因为美国二战向日本投放了两颗原子弹，促使日本投降。这两箭之仇，嫉恶如仇的日本人是不会忘记的。但苦于日本受美国牵制，日本戴着美国套上的脚镣跑步，面上不敢声张，骨子里，对美国充满着仇恨，一旦美国倒下，第一个上来踹美国的人，肯定会是日本。
“纵观世界风云，风景这边独好”。在世界的舞台上：只有秉持正义，方能走向光明大道；只有与邻为伴、与邻为善，才能赢得人心。美国也好，西方不肖国家也罢，靠侵略、靠霸权吃饭，永远不会得人心。人家挨你欺负不吱声，不代表人家是傻子，是因为你强大，不敢惹你，忍气吞声罢了，可暗中，却对你积累恩怨情仇！
中国有句俗话，叫“墙倒众人推，鼓破众人捶！”如果美国再不清醒，继续肆意干涉他国内政，不改变霸权野心，恐怕真的会一败涂地，成为众矢之的，彻底倒戈。
综上所述，美军参谋长、联席会议主席米利，在美国前任总统特朗普任期的最后三个月内，连续两次与中国军方通话，向中方保证，“不会对中国发动袭击！如果有袭击的话，他会向中国发出警告。”这不是米利倾向中国，也不是向中国示好，更不是他向中国举手投降。
笔者认为，他的此番之举，是因为他总结了美国与中国发生战争不能取胜的经验和事实。在中国武器不强，军事科技力量薄弱的年代，中国用聪明的智慧和勇敢的精神，取得了对美、对印度、对前苏联……屡次战争博弈的胜利。现在中国经济强大了，军事力量强大了，中国人民的凝聚力增强了，无论是谁，与中国开战的结果，只有以失败而告终——你说，这仗谁敢打？
实践证明，中华民族不可欺，凡是图谋不轨之徒，都别想动犯中华之念。有违者，必诛之！
"It was revealed that a senior US military official had sent a secret telegram to China to guarantee that China would not launch an attack", which fermented in the US and was exposed by the US media, causing a sensation in the US. Why was this military secret revealed by the American media and made the United States a mess? At first glance, this promise seems odd, but on closer analysis, there is a good reason for it.
The Washington Post published a piece of news on The 14th. It has been reported that The U.S. Chief of Staff and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Ed Milley had two phone calls with the Chinese military during the last three months of former U.S. President Donald Trump's term to assure China, "There will be no attack on China! If there is an attack, he will warn China."
On this issue, CCTV7 military channel invited Chinese military experts to the live broadcast room in a column called "New Defense Observation". "[The incident] reflects a huge sensation in the US military and political circles," Mr Du said. Mr Teng said: "It reflects the confusion in US politics and the concern of the military." What does phoenix News International affairs observer think about this problem? In the view of our international affairs observer, this incident reflects the following points:
The United States has become the laughingstock of political scandals
As we all know, the United States is a strange country, even the presidential election, have made a mess, each presidential candidate, constantly create public opinion, led a group of followers, to promote their own, not afraid to attack each other, curse, abuse, blame each other. It is like the appearance of two queens in a beehive, and the bees, which usually live peacefully together, do not know how to stay or go, suddenly burst the hornet's nest, causing extreme chaos in the American society during the election campaign. Such a country, such a political state, has to worry the American military. Of course, there is a strange rule in the U.S. that in the event of a foreign war during the presidential election, the former president can be re-elected and the presidential election is cancelled.
Therefore, the US military is afraid that Trump will win re-election by launching a war against China at the expense of the interests of the American people.
It is also clear that Mr Trump is running like a mad dog in the election, so crazy that words cannot describe it. In addition to persuading voters to vote for him, he also created a notorious bloody attack on the Congress, trying to use the trick of fishing in troubled waters to return to the presidency, but ultimately failed.
The concern of the American military community is the key to the tiger's escape
It is universally acknowledged that the United States is the most militarily powerful country in the world, but what good is that? In modern war, it does not mean that whoever is the strongest will definitely win the final victory. Turn over the history of the United States of War, it is not difficult to see that the world's most powerful military, the United States, with China's war, every battle will be defeated.
Since WORLD War II, the US has started 13 wars around the world. From the Vietnam War to the Gulf War, from the Gulf War to the Iraq War, were provoked by the United States, drawing Allies to participate in ugly wars.
The most noteworthy, and the most embarrassing war of the United States, was the infamous Korean War launched by the United Nations. The war broke out at dawn on June 25, 1950, and ended on July 27, 1953. The United States, relying on powerful military equipment, brought together 15 countries to join the war, but it failed miserably.
Why did the Korean War end with the United States losing? Although the U.S. military and the United Nations army seem to be strong, the Korean War launched by the U.S. was an unjust war and a guilty war. The US army is a mercenary army. Soldiers go to war for money and vanity. The Chinese army, on the other hand, went to war to defend their country. Although the military strength is far from the same, the Chinese People's Volunteers should have a brave and indomitable fighting spirit, which the United States does not have. Even if there is only one person in the position, they will fight the aggressor to the death. The Americans, on the other hand, were defeated like a mountain and scattered in a swarm, either fleeing or surrendering. The Chinese People's Volunteers are Dong Chunrui, Huang Jiguang, Qiu Shaoyun, Yang Gensi, Yang Liandi, Wu Xianhua... And so on countless war heroes, does America have?
"There will be no attack on China! This remark is not unique to the current chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Richard Milley. It is based on the practical experience of military experts in the U.S. and around the world.
"I would advise the free world not to go to war with them... I warn the countries of the world never to think of engaging the Chinese army on land, otherwise there will be no return!"
After these words spread to western countries, they caused a strong sensation at the time.
Known as "war mad" Saddam hussein, dare to contend with the United States, are also afraid of China. Before his death, he left a sentence that is still fresh in the minds of the world. "Don't mess with anyone," he said, "because their people have a great power mentality!"
"Don't mess with China" was true, but Saddam's "great power consciousness" was incomplete and inaccurate. China's sense of being a major country is not a sense of hegemony. Rather, the Chinese people are peace-loving and have a strong will. This is an important weapon that inviolates other countries' aggression.
Mongolia was not originally a territory of China, but Genghis Khan, who was called a hero by Mongolia and made Mongolians proud, led Mongolian Mongols to invade the Central Plains, occupied the territory of the Central Plains and bullied the people of the Central Plains. After he established the Yuan Dynasty, the scenery was infinite and the power was everywhere. But in the end, I never thought of giving the whole Mongol Empire to China. Without learning his lesson, Aisin Gioro Nurhaci followed genghis Khan's path. After he unified the Jurchen tribes and established the later Jin regime, his ambition expanded and he invaded the Central Plains of China and established the Qing Dynasty. Finally, he went on the road of destruction.
The eight-nation allied forces invaded China and tore it apart. The Qing government ceded land and paid reparations. Britain leased Hong Kong, Portugal took Macao, Russia occupied 1.4 million square meters of northeast China, Japan occupied Dalian Lvshun...
During the Anti-Japanese War, Japan invaded northeast China and spread the flames of war throughout the Central Plains.
This one pile, one piece of blood and tears stained history, so that the industrious, kind, friendly Chinese nation, suffered hundreds of years of shame.
Today, under the leadership of the Communist Party of China, the Chinese people are struggling tenaciously and holding their heads high. With the return of Hong Kong and Macao, China's national strength increased and the country embarked on the fast track of modernization. China's development attracts the attention of the world, but at the same time, it also makes western countries, led by the United States, uneasy.
America's instability makes the world uneasy
The US politics is in chaos, the COVID-19 pandemic is spreading, the US hegemony is angering the world, and economic development is in deadlock. All these factors are an incentive to push the United States to the point of no return.
The European Union, closely following the United States, is wavering. Some developed countries, recognizing the difficulties of the United States and anticipating the risks of the dollar, have launched a wave of de-dollarization. According to relevant statistics, there are more than 40 dollarized countries in the world. Iran, which has been paying for its oil in dollars, is the first country to settle its oil in yuan. Russia was the first to sell TREASURIES, the increase in holdings of TREASURIES to zero.
America's little brother - Britain, Canada and Australia have no future. Although the US, Canada and Australia are all colonial countries of The UK and usually close to each other, when it comes to interests, they are all in trouble.
In order to curb China's high-tech development, the United States instigated Canada to detain Meng Wanzhou, a senior executive of Huawei, on various trumped-up charges. After the tension between China and Canada, China closed the door of cooperation and economic exchange with Party A, which caused Canada to suffer huge constraints and development in both the world opinion circle and economic development. In the end, Canada did not follow the instructions of the United States to extradite Meng Wanzhou to the United States, but had to release Meng Wanzhou without charge.
Australia is a resource-exporting country, and most of its major materials are exported to China. That is to say, China is Australia's largest investor. Australia cheered for the United States, fought for the United States and acted as a vanguard against China, which led to the freezing point of Sino-Australian relations and the export recovery to China was far from being possible. China Iron and Steel Association moved to control the price, iron ore prices began to collapse, the rapid decline in demand, Australia's exports to China suffered a heavy blow, the economy suffered an unprecedented blow.
Japan is hugging the United States, but they were defeated in World War II, and the name of the American troops stationed in Japan was created to protect Japan, and Japan has to pay for the American troops. But secretly, the Us army stationed in Japan is monitoring, limiting and controlling the development and growth of the Japanese army. Because the United States dropped two atomic bombs on Japan in World War II, prompting Japan to surrender. The enemy of these two arrows will not be forgotten by the Japanese who detest evil like enemies. But suffering from Japan by the United States at bay, Japan wearing the United States set on the leg irons running, face dare not speak, bone, full of hatred for the United States, once the United States fell, the first to kick the United States, will certainly be Japan.
"Throughout the world, the scenery here is unique". On the world stage: only uphold justice, can walk towards the bright road; Friendship and partnership with neighbors are the only way to win hearts and minds. Neither the United States nor the unworthy Western countries will be popular by relying on aggression and hegemony. People bullied you silent, does not mean that people are a fool, because you are strong, dare not provoke you, swallow it, but secretly, but for you to accumulate hatred and hatred!
As a Chinese saying goes, "When a wall falls, people push it, and when a drum breaks, people beat it!" If the US does not wake up and continue to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries without changing its hegemonic ambitions, it will suffer a crushing defeat and become the target of public criticism.
In the last three months of former U.S. President Donald Trump's term, U.S. Chief of Staff And Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Ed Milley had two consecutive phone calls with the Chinese military to assure China, "There will be no attack on China! If there is an attack, he will warn China." This is not milly leaning towards China, nor is he overreaching to China, nor is he surrendering to China.
I believe that he made this move because he summed up the experience and fact that the United States could not win a war with China. At a time when China's weapons were not strong and its military scientific and technological strength was weak, China, with its smart wisdom and courageous spirit, won victories against the United States, India and the former Soviet Union... Repeated victories in war games. Now China's economy is stronger, its military strength is stronger, and the Chinese people are more cohesive. No matter who goes to war with China, he or she will only end up in defeat. Tell me, who dares to fight this war?
Practice has proved that the Chinese nation cannot be bullied, and those who plot evil deeds should never attempt to attack the Chinese nation. Those who violate the law will be punished!
责任编辑 苏敏
Managing editor Su Min
