俄烏戰爭之吾見
——項莊舞劍，意在沛公
My view on the Russia-Ukraine war
-- Xiang Zhuang sword dance, intended to Pei Gong
鳳凰新聞社國際問題觀察員田長友
Phoenix News Agency international affairs observer Tian Changyou
鳳凰新聞社訊
Phoenix News Service
2022年2月，美國總統拜登，緊鑼密鼓地向烏克蘭捐贈大量武器裝備，一面煽動俄羅斯威脅論，一面組織北約，準備對抗俄羅斯。特別是，拜登根據俄羅斯在烏克蘭邊境佈兵開展軍事演習之舉，大肆散佈俄羅斯準備16日入侵烏克蘭的妖言。然而，俄羅斯卻在15日，開始從俄烏邊境撤軍。俄羅斯的這一行動，狠狠地扇了拜登一巴掌，使拜登和北約組織顏面掃地。
樹欲靜而風不止，俄羅斯在俄烏邊境撤軍之後，烏克蘭東部地區的民間組織，單方面向烏克蘭政府軍發動了進攻。俄羅斯總統新聞秘書佩斯科夫23日表示，克里姆林宮收到了烏克蘭東部頓涅茨克和盧甘斯克的武裝領導人分別所寄送的信函。內容主要關於請求俄羅斯總統普京幫助擊退烏克蘭政府軍的侵略，以避免頓巴斯地區的平民傷亡和人道主義災難。這又把俄羅斯已經熄滅的戰爭火焰，重新點燃起來。
美國這個一貫靠戰爭發財，靠戰爭奪勢力範圍的戰爭販子，急不可耐地希望俄烏戰爭早日爆發。美國和北約組織急於讓俄烏戰爭爆發，其目的很顯然：一是讓俄烏關係徹底破裂，增加俄烏之間的民族仇恨；二是讓經濟困惑的俄羅斯陷入戰爭泥潭，加速俄羅斯的經濟潰敗，徹底擾亂俄羅斯的內外社會秩序。然而，俄烏戰爭打起來了，美國和北約組織卻袖手旁觀，不動聲色，隔岸觀火，這到底是葫蘆裡賣的什麼藥呢？
原因很簡單，這就是以美國為首的北約組織，是專門欺負世界弱小國家的北大西洋公約組織。這個組織，是由30個歐盟國家和美國參與的國際軍事同盟集團。二戰後，蘇聯作為戰勝國，不斷崛起，逐漸成為跟歐盟國家對立的超級大國。軍事力量強大起來的蘇聯，不能不引起美國和歐盟的注意和擔心。雖然在美國和歐盟的挑撥、制裁、干擾下，蘇聯最後解體，但是蘇聯的主體國家俄羅斯，其經濟實力和軍事實力，依然很強大，依然不容小覷。烏克蘭挨近俄羅斯，自從烏克蘭從蘇聯分離出來後，就開始接受美國的蠱惑，跟俄羅斯的死對頭美國和歐盟勾連，直至申請加入北約。
In February 2022, U.S. President Joe Biden donated a large number of weapons and equipment to Ukraine, inciting the theory of Russian threat, and organizing NATO to prepare to confront Russia. In particular, Biden has been spreading the rumor that Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine on September 16, following Russia's military exercises along the Ukrainian border. However, On The 15th, Russia began to withdraw troops from the border with Ukraine. This is a slap in the face for Biden and NATO.
After Russia withdrew its troops from the border with Ukraine, civil society groups in eastern Ukraine launched a unilateral offensive against Ukrainian government forces. Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said Wednesday that the Kremlin has received separate letters from the armed leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine. It's about asking Russian President Vladimir Putin to help repel aggression by Ukrainian government forces to avoid civilian casualties and humanitarian disaster in the Donbas region. It rekindled the flames of war, which had been extinguished in Russia.
The United States, a warmonger who always relies on war to make a fortune and seize the sphere of influence, is anxious to see an early outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. The United States and NATO are eager to let the Russia-Ukraine war break out, their purpose is obvious: first, to make the russia-Ukraine relationship completely broken, increase the ethnic hatred between Russia and Ukraine; Second, the economic confusion of Russia into the war quagmire, accelerate the economic collapse of Russia, completely disrupt the internal and external social order of Russia. However, when the Russia-Ukraine war broke out, the United States and NATO stood idly by and watched from the sidelines. What is the medicine in the gourd?
The reason is very simple, this is the US-led NATO, is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to bully the world's weak countries. The group is an international military alliance of 30 European Union countries and the United States. After world War II, the Soviet Union, as the victor, kept rising and gradually became a superpower in opposition to the EU countries. The Soviet Union, with its military strength becoming stronger, cannot but attract the attention and concern of the United States and the European Union. Although the Soviet Union finally disintegrated under the provocation, sanctions and interference of the United States and the European Union, Russia, the main body of the Soviet Union, was still very strong in economic strength and military strength, still not to be underestimated. Ukraine is next door to Russia. Ever since Ukraine split from the Soviet Union, it has been seduced by the United States, Russia's arch-rivals, and the European Union, until it applied to join NATO.
烏克蘭脫離蘇聯也就罷了，但是他們卻投入北約，申請加入俄羅斯敵對國際軍事組織，對俄羅斯構成國家安全威脅，這是俄羅斯所絕對不能容忍的事情。以美國為首的北約為了擴大自己的勢力範圍，不斷煽動俄羅斯威脅論，挑撥俄烏關係。而烏克蘭卻不知是計，緊抱以美國為首的北約大腿，最後導致了俄烏軍事衝突。
2022年2月24開始，俄羅斯對烏發動軍事打擊，控制並摧毀了烏海軍、空軍軍事設施，國民衛隊司令部也被摧毀。美國為了蠱惑烏克蘭與俄羅斯開戰，除了煽動俄羅斯威脅論之外，還向烏克蘭捐贈的大量軍事武器裝備。可是當烏克蘭遭受俄羅斯致命軍事打擊之後，包括以美國為首的北約軍事同盟組織，卻隔岸觀火，裝聾作啞。美國、北約不出兵，卻狂叫要制裁俄羅斯，凍結俄羅斯所有在美資金。
真是天大的笑話，美國在經濟上制裁俄羅斯，跟俄羅斯進攻烏克蘭有關係嗎？即使俄羅斯不進攻烏克蘭，美國停止過對俄羅斯的制裁了嗎？所謂的制裁，只是美國為了挽回面子，在俄烏沖突上做了一個不痛不癢的表示而已，這對俄羅斯而言，不會具有半點約束力。俄羅斯也強硬地表示，對美國實行相應的制裁。在烏克蘭遭受滅頂之災的當下，美國向俄羅斯發出的這種近似於口水仗似的空喊，就算是對烏克蘭的救援了？於是，半醉半醒的烏克蘭總統澤連斯基發出了絕命的唉鴻：“我們被西方坑了！”
Ukraine seceded from the Soviet Union, but they joined NATO, applied to join Russia's rival international military organization, and posed a threat to Russia's national security, which Russia will never tolerate. In order to expand its sphere of influence, NATO, led by the United States, constantly instigated the theory of Russian threat and drove a wedge between Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine, however, did not know what to do, clinging to the us-led lap of NATO, resulting in a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Starting from February 24, 2022, Russia launched a military strike against Ukraine, controlling and destroying military facilities of Ukraine's navy and air force and destroying the Command of the National Guard. In order to incite Ukraine to go to war with Russia, the United States not only instigated the theory of Russian threat, but also donated a large number of military weapons and equipment to Ukraine. But after Russia's deadly military assault on Ukraine, the NATO military alliance, led by the United States, stood idly by. The United States and NATO are not sending troops, but are calling for sanctions against Russia and freezing all Russian funds in the United States.
Really big joke, the United States in economic sanctions against Russia, with Russia's attack on Ukraine has anything to do with it? Even if Russia does not attack Ukraine, has the United States stopped imposing sanctions on Russia? The so-called sanctions are just a soft gesture by the US to save face on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which will not have any binding effect on Russia. Russia is also threatening corresponding sanctions against the United States. Is this war of words being hurled at Russia by the United States to the rescue of Ukraine as it is being annihilated? Hence, the Ukrainian president Zelensky, half drunk and half awake, issued a desperate sigh: "We were cheated by the West!"
澤連斯基沒說錯，但是卻做錯了。他為了巴結美國和北約，不惜離開俄羅斯陣營，投靠豺狼，以狼為伍，當自己的國家蒙受災難的時候，卻被豺狼推下深淵。烏克蘭的錯誤主要體現在以下三點：
第一點，不應該恩將仇報，脫離俄羅斯陣營，與狼為伍；
第二點，不應該忘記北極熊——俄羅斯的雄風；
第三點，不應該忘記美國是一個背信棄義的國家。
說美國背信棄義一點不為過。遠的不說，剛剛過去的美軍從阿富汗撤軍，就是一個鮮明的例證。美軍在阿富汗發動戰爭，幫助阿富汗政府軍抵抗塔利班。打了20年，阿富汗耗盡了巨資，也沒能控制住局面。美國在阿富汗捅了婁子，然後抬屁股走人。他們還沒出阿富汗的國門，塔利班就捲土從來，接管了阿富汗政府。這樣一個背信棄義的國家，卻被烏克蘭當成救命稻草，結果怎麼樣？阿富汗的舊戲，在烏克蘭便得到重演。
美國、北約、烏克蘭的這場戲演得好，第一，讓世界看看，美國和北約究竟是什麼樣的組織，美國是一個怎樣出爾反爾的國家；第二，也讓緊抱美國大腿，跟美國親近的台灣當局和蔡英文看看，當大陸武力收復台灣的時候，美國會不會出兵救你？
俄羅斯軍事力量強硬，攻打烏克蘭時，美國和北約隔岸觀火，口號喊得震天響，就是不動一兵一卒。中國的國力位居世界第二，軍事實力也不亞於誰，中國收復台灣，你美國真敢出兵嗎？如果美國真的出兵，就會帶上日本。日本前首相安倍竄訪台灣，大放厥詞，說：“台灣有事，就是日本有事，就是美日同盟有事！”這話連美國總統拜登都不敢說，安倍卻敢說，而且還拉上美國做擋箭牌。在國際問題上，只有美國發號施令，指使日本等其他美國控制的國家，哪有日本向美國發號施令的權利？眾所周知，日本對俄羅斯耿耿於懷，如果日本公然干擾中國收復台灣，俄羅斯必定會站出來，會同中國一起，連日本島都面臨蕩平的危險，到那時，真的成了台灣有事，就不是日本有小事了——而是日本滅亡的大事了！
中國的領袖毛澤東主席說得好：“美帝國主義和一切反動派，都是紙老虎！”如果不是紙老虎，美國和北約，怎麼會在俄烏衝突中，袖手旁觀呢？
Zelensky was right, but he was wrong. In order to curry favor with the United States and NATO, he did not hesitate to leave the Russian camp and take refuge with the wolves. When his country suffered a disaster, he was pushed into the abyss by the wolves. There are three main reasons why Ukraine went wrong:
First, they should not bite the hand that feeds them by breaking away from Russia and joining the wolves.
Second, the polar bear, Russia's hero, should not be forgotten.
Third, it should not be forgotten that America is a perfidious nation.
It is no exaggeration to say that America is perfidious. The recent withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan is a stark example. U.S. forces are waging war in Afghanistan to help the Afghan government fight the Taliban. After 20 years of fighting, Afghanistan has run out of money and failed to control the situation. The US screwed up in Afghanistan and walked away. Before they left the country, the Taliban took over the Afghan government. What happened to such a treacherous country being used as a lifeline by Ukraine? Afghanistan's old playbook is being repeated in Ukraine.
The drama between the US, NATO and Ukraine is well played. First, let the world see what kind of organization the US and NATO are and what kind of backward-looking country the US is. Second, let the Taiwan authorities and Tsai Ing-wen, who are close to the US and cling to the US's lap, see if the US will send troops to rescue you if the Mainland forces Taiwan.
Russia's military strength is strong, attacking Ukraine, the United States and NATO watch from the sidelines, Shouting loudly, is not to move a soldier. China's national strength is second in the world and its military strength is no less than anyone else. If China recovers Taiwan, do you really dare to send troops? If the US does go to war, it will take Japan with it. Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited Taiwan and talked nonsense, saying, "If Taiwan has problems, then Japan has problems, and the US-Japan alliance has problems!" Even U.S. President Joe Biden did not dare to say this, but Abe did, using the U.S. as a shield. On international issues, only the US can dictate to Japan and other countries controlled by the US. How can Japan have the right to dictate to the US? As we all know, Japan is very angry with Russia. If Japan openly interferes with China's recovery of Taiwan, Russia will definitely stand out and join China in the danger of even Japan island being wiped out. By then, it will really become a matter of Taiwan, and it will not be a matter of Japan -- it will be a matter of Japan's extinction!
Chairman MAO Zedong, the Chinese leader, said it best: "Us imperialism and all reactionaries are paper tigers!" If it were not for paper tigers, how could the United States and NATO have stood by during the russia-Ukraine conflict?
責任編輯 蘇敏
Managing editor Su Min
